Market Insight
Tony Jordan
6 October 2023

Market Insights 06/10/2023


A reversal (once again) of the previous days session yesterday as markets showed a bearish side, continuing to maintain the overall sideways trend for now.

On other side of the world, after we thought all was sorted, Chevron workers once again are discussing a possible return to strike after unions accused the company of reneging on previously agreed commitments.

Yesterday saw the TTF Front Month contract settle at €36.21 (from €38.44) and the NBP Front Month contract at 89.87p (from 95.95p).

Kvitebjorn on unplanned outage this morning and we see a flow level at 280mcm from Norway (284). Russian nominations showing Velke Kapusany at 37.5mcm (36.7) and Sudzha at 42.4mcm (42.4). Nord Stream remains unavailable. EU gas storage showing at 96.47% full as per AGSI+. LNG vessels due to arrive in UK next couple of weeks is 8.

This morning we see the Front Month TTF contract at €36, NO CHANGE to the previous settlement.

A quick check on some key contracts (rounded to nearest whole):
Curve TTF Front Month €36, Front Season €43 (vs €36 and €44)
Curve NBP Front Month 90p, Front Season 108p (vs 96p and 111p)
UK Gas NBP spot 70p (from 77p)
UK Power DA £60 (from £63)

UK power prices show the UK Front Month Baseload contract at £87 (£91) and Front Season at £98 (£96).

In other areas of the market Brent Oil is at $84 ($86) and EUAs are at €81 (€82). Henry Hub is at $3.17 ($2.96) and JKM is at $14.11 ($14.15) with TTF Equiv of $11.18 ($11.86).

Numbers in brackets show the previous reports value.